Vote Thread for Ack's Omake Corner

[X] Wyvern - 6
[X] I, Panacea - 5
[X] Recoil - 4
[X] Slippery Slope - 3
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 2
[X] NSW - 1

 

[X] Trump Card - 5
[X] Slippery Slope - 2
[X] Confrontation II - 6
[X] Recoil - 4
[X] Hostage Situation - 3
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 1

 

[X] Confrontation II - 6
[X] Wyvern - 5
[X] Trump Card - 4
[X] Recoil - 3
[X] All Alone - 2

 

[X] War Games - 6
[X] Wyvern - 5
[X] MirrorVerse - 4
[X] One More Trigger - 3
[X] Confrontation II - 2
[X] Meet the Heberts - 1
[] Trump Card
[] I, Panacea
[] Recoil
[] Security!
[] Alea Iacta Est
[]

 

[X] I, Panacea - 6
[X] Wyvern - 5
[X] Meet the Heberts - 4
[X] Security! - 3
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 2
[X] Recoil - 1

 

Alright. Since we have a wealth of data to work from by this point, I'm modifying my prediction method a bit. It now forecasts based on the average of the last ten rounds, rather than all rounds since Vote 58 (when the current voting era began, with the addition of 6 new stories at once and the # of stories per vote raising from 5 to 6).

With that in mind, let's see what we have in store!

Currently predicted to win Vote 73 is I, Panacea by an almost 40-vote margin. Close enough for a possible upset, but not that likely -- especially considering the runner-up is an NSFW fic, which as a rule get fewer votes than the SFW ones. If it doesn't manage an upset, Meet the Heberts will get its first win in Vote 74.

Votes 75 through 77 will all be relatively close. Wyvern is the current favorite to win Vote 75, as it approaches the 1k line again, but Recoil and One More Trigger will both be pretty close behind it. Wyvern is unlikely to get thrown off, it reclaimed its Most Votes Per Round crown from Alea Iacta Est in 72. Vote 76 is likely to go to Recoil and Vote 77 to One More Trigger.

After that, we've got a few newcomers up for their first wins. Confrontation II climbs to the top of the heap in Vote 78, Slippery Slope does likewise in Vote 79, and Hostage Situation earns its first win in Vote 80.

Then it's back to the Popular Fics Club, with Alea Iacta Est cruising to another win in Vote 81 and recent winner Trump Card coming around for another go in Vote 82.

Beyond that, the likely rounds to the next win for various (counted starting from Vote 82):

Alea Iacta Est: 8
All Alone: 8
Bait & Switch: 25
Confrontation II: 16
Danny & Taylor: 20
Hostage Situation: 23
I, Panacea: 2
Junior Hero: 11
Meet the Heberts: 9
MirrorVerse: 6
NSW: 7
Nemesis: 16
One More Trigger: 13
Really Bad End: 4
Recoil: 4
Security!: 2
Slippery Slope: 18
Trump Card: 10
War Games: 6
Wyvern: 1

I repeat, this is counting from Vote 82. Several slower-winning stories will have just updated by then, so don't be disheartened if they look to be very far off. These numbers may also shift as more data comes in.


Accuracy this round was 97.07%. Highest proportional accuracy was Bait & Switch, at 99.57%. Highest absolute accuracy was a tie between Bait & Switch and Danny & Taylor; the former came in 2 votes short, the latter 2 votes ahead. Lowest proportional accuracy was All Alone, which only hit 82.35% of expected votes. Lowest absolute accuracy, though, went to Confrontation II, which was 28 votes ahead of predictions.

Votes-per-round Rankings have shifted substantially with the change in counting:

1: Wyvern - 149 - down 6
2: Alea Iacta Est - 122 - down 2
3: Recoil - 120 - Up 2
4: I, Panacea - 108 - up 7
5: Trump Card -107 - down 4
6: Security! - 80 - up 2
7: Meet the Heberts - 66 - up 2
8: One More Trigger - 64 - up 1
9: All Alone - 60 - up 3
10: Confrontation II - 60 - up 11
11: Slippery Slope - 54 - up 4
12: NSW - 51 - up 1
13: War Games - 50 - up 6
14: Hostage Situation - 46 - up 1
15: MirrorVerse - 40 - up 5
16: Nemesis - 28 - up 1
17: Really Bad End - 25 - up 4
18: Danny & Taylor - 22
19: Junior Hero - 21 - up 1
20: Bait & Switch - 18 - down 1



And my own vote:

[X] Meet the Heberts - 6
[X] NSW - 5
[X] War Games - 4
[X] One More Trigger - 3
[X] Security! - 2
[X] Recoil - 1

 

[X] Recoil - 6
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 5
[X] I, Panacea - 4
[X] Wyvern - 3
[X] All Alone - 2
[X] Security! - 1

 

[X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
[X] Recoil - 5
[X] Trump Card - 4
[X] Security! - 3
[X] Junior Hero - 2
[X] Nemesis - 1

Well, I'm glad my script mostly worked (apparently it didn't like it when the last message on a page was "Voting is CLOSED", but it should be fixed now). Also, subsider34, your "I, Pancea" vote is misspelt - it should be "I, Panacea".

Oh, I also added a very small new feature, for anyone who cares (probably only Ack, but maybe other people enjoy tallying votes themselves?), so here's the new code:

Code:

javascript:var minVoteWeight = 1; /*Their lowest vote can be 1*/var maxVoteWeight = 6; /*Their highest vote can be 6*/var stories = ["Alea Iacta Est", "All Alone", "Bait & Switch", "Confrontation II", "Danny & Taylor", "Hostage Situation", "I, Panacea", "Junior Hero", "Meet the Heberts", "MirrorVerse", "Nemesis", "NSW", "One More Trigger", "Really Bad End", "Recoil", "Security!", "Slippery Slope", "Trump Card", "War Games", "Wyvern"]; /*A list of stories, so it knows which to count*/var splitter = "Ack"; /*Your username, so it checks for posts from you*/var splitterContains = "Voting is CLOSED"; /*A post must contain this to mean the end of a vote*/var commonChanges = [["lacta", "iacta"],["&", "and", true],["pancea","panacea"]]; /*Changes to make to vote names for better recognition, the boolean is if it should suppress messages on that auto-correct*/void($.getScript("https://pastebin.com/raw.php?i=BjSdjs7J"));

 

[X] Really Bad End - 6
[X] Danny & Taylor - 5
[X] Meet the Heberts - 4
[X] Trump Card - 3
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 2
[X] Wyvern - 1

 

[X] Wyvern - 6
[X] I, Panacea - 5
[X] Trump Card - 4
[X] One More Trigger - 3
[X] Recoil - 2
[X] Security! - 1

 

Now opening, the Acktropa Vote Trading Post, sponsoring War Games.

[X] War Games - 6
[X] MirrorVerse - 5
[X] Really Bad End - 4
[X] Meet the Heberts - 3
[0] -
[0] -

How does it work you ask? It's foolproof! (I hope)
Quote Acktropa Vote Trading Post or send us a message with the story you want us here at Acktropar VTP™ to vote for on your behalf!
As long as you vote for War Games with as many votes (or more) than you want for your story of choice we're good.
First come first serve.

 

[X] MirrorVerse - 6
[X] All Alone - 5
[X] One More Trigger - 4
[X] Security! - 3
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 2
[X] Wyvern - 1

 

[X] Confrontation II - 6
[X] Danny & Taylor - 5
[X] Bait & Switch - 4
[X] Hostage Situation - 3
[X] Meet the Heberts - 2
[X] Wyvern - 1

 

[X] Really Bad End - 6
[X] Confrontation II - 5
[X] War Games - 4
[X] Recoil - 3
[X] Wyvern - 2
[X] All Alone - 1
[] Trump Card - 0
[] Alea Iacta Est - 0

 

[] Marky's Angels - 13
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 6
[X] Trump Card - 5
[X] Security! - 4
[X] Wyvern - 3
[X] Recoil - 2
[X] Hostage Situation - 1
[] One More Trigger
[] I, Panacea

 

I've got 4 on War Games, can I get 4 on Really Bad End?

 

[X] Junior Hero - 6
[X] Meet the Heberts - 5
[X] Confrontation II - 4
[X] One More Trigger - 3
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 2
[X] NSW - 1

 

[X] Recoil - 6
[X] Trump Card - 5
[X] Wyvern - 1
[X] One More Trigger - 3
[X] All Alone - 2
[X] Hostage Situation - 4

 

[X] Recoil - 6
[X] I, Panacea - 5
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 4
[X] Trump Card - 3
[X] Hostage Situation - 2
[X] Slippery Slope - 1

 

[X] NSW - 6
[X] Meet the Heberts - 5
[X] Danny & Taylor - 4
[X] One More Trigger - 3
[X] Hostage Situation - 2
[X] I, Panacea - 1

 

I've got War Games at 4; I'll take Meet the Heberts at 3.

 

Locked in:
[X] All Alone - 6 (swapped for MirrorVerse with Anaja)
[X] MirrorVerse - 5 (swapped for All Alone with Snake/Eater)
[X] Slippery Slope - 4 (swapped for Confrontation II with Edale)
[X] War Games - 3 (swapped for Confrontation II with Subsider34)

Changeable:
[X] Confrontation II - 2
[X] Meet the Heberts - 1

Anyone want to make a long-term vote swap arrangement? As in, I vote for something you want, you give the same value vote to Confrontation II (preferred) or All Alone, and we do that for the rest of our lives? (or until one of us decides to vote for something else, I guess)

Would this mess up the new vote counter? Since you quoted a vote.

 

Hmm. Good point. I'll edit it out of my post.

 

[X] MirrorVerse - 6
[X] All Alone - 5
[X] War Games - 4

Ok, this seems to work, the Acktropa Vote Trading Post, sponsoring MirrorVerse.

 

[X] Recoil - 6
[X] Wyvern - 5
[X] Trump Card - 4
[X] One More Trigger - 3
[X] Bait & Switch - 2
[X] NSW - 1

 

Wouldn't that be... the Snacktropa VTP™

 

[X] War Games - 6
[X] Recoil - 5
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 4
[X] Wyvern - 3
[X] Confrontation II - 2
[X] Slippery Slope - 1

 

[] Hypnosis Idea - 13
[X] Meet the Heberts - 6
[X] NSW - 5
[X] Really Bad End - 4
[X] Confrontation II - 3
[X] Hostage Situation - 2
[X] Wyvern - 1

 

[X] Meet the Heberts - 6
[X] Wyvern - 5
[X] War Games - 4
[X] Alea Iacta Est - 3
[X] Danny & Taylor - 2
[X] Confrontation II - 1

 

Trade you 5 Votes for MirrorVerse for 5 Votes for War Games?